Commercial Market Trends Q4 2025
by Scott Lyons
3 minute read
Cautious optimism mixed with robust growth opportunities
by Scott Lyons 3 minute read

Office Outlook
As organizations reevaluate their office strategies for 2025 and beyond, employees across industries are demanding higher-quality work environments as they return to the office full time.
This comes amid a “Great Resistance” from employees reluctant to resume traditional office routines—contrasting sharply with an employer-favorable job market that gives companies more leverage in shaping return-to-office policies.
Leasing activity has risen notably among financial services and technology—especially AI—firms, with spaces between 10,000 and 20,000 square feet accounting for more than half of all leases signed in Q2 2025. These companies are approaching workspace design differently: prioritizing high-quality, smart, flexible, and biophilic environments that foster collaboration while requiring less square footage. Average space per employee has decreased from 250–325 square feet in the early 2000s to just 125–150 square feet in 2025, reflecting a focus on efficiency and better utilization.
The real estate market reflects this shift. Vacancy rates for prime Class A buildings declined 30 basis points to 14.5% in Q2, while non-prime vacancies rose 10 basis points to 19.4%. This widening gap underscores a clear trend—workers and employers alike are gravitating toward modern, efficient offices that promote team cohesion, innovation, and an elevated workplace experience.
In short, the office is evolving: smaller, smarter, and more employee-centric—reshaping both the workplace and the commercial real estate landscape.
Hospitality Outlook
Luxury hotel construction in the United States is experiencing a strong resurgence in 2025 as traveler expectations continue to evolve.
Major brands such as Hilton, Wyndham, IHG, and Hyatt are expanding strategically renovating aging assets and launching new brands aimed at upper midscale and upscale guests. Many of these new flags are entering the lifestyle segment, transforming existing properties into distinctive hotels that reflect local character and individuality while maintaining each brand’s signature quality and service.
Development is concentrating in key urban and lifestyle destinations including New York, Nashville, Miami, Los Angeles, and Aspen, where mixed-use projects are combining hotel, residential, and retail components to create vibrant urban hubs.
Hotel developers are pursuing growth through innovation, partnerships, and new market opportunities. Regions experiencing infrastructure expansion—such as data centers, chip factories, and battery plants—are starting to drive new demand for hospitality. As Wyndham’s Executive Vice President and Chief Development Officer Amit Sripathi notes, “A data center in itself is not a demand generator, but it changes market dynamics.”
With new jobs and investment reshaping communities nationwide, hotel construction and redevelopment are following, supporting a new wave of urban development and traveler-focused amenities across the country.
Sports Outlook
Investors continue to deepen their involvement in sports organizations to maximize returns, driving innovation in how fans experience sports.
Across leagues and disciplines, the industry is redefining what a “game” means—creating new leagues, expanding women’s professional sports, and introducing fresh formats for established competitions. Growth in ratings, attendance, investment, and team valuations reflects this accelerating momentum.
A major focus for investors is enhancing the fan experience and expanding opportunities in women’s sports. The WNBA will add three new teams—in California, Toronto, and Portland—in 2026, with plans to reach 16 teams by 2028. Similarly, the National Women’s Soccer League will expand into Boston and Denver in 2026, while professional women’s hockey will add two new teams for the 2025 season.
These expansions represent more than new franchises—they signal a long-term investment in facilities, talent development, sponsorships, partnerships, merchandising, and fan engagement. As investors continue to capitalize on the surging popularity and commercial potential of women’s sports, the broader industry is evolving into a more inclusive, diversified, and experience-driven ecosystem that is redefining the future of sports in the United States.
Customer Priorities How Can We Help?
Themes we’re seeing across the commercial market:
Office
- Employers and employees are prioritizing high-quality Class A office spaces as return-to-office momentum builds.
- Flexible, adaptable design is essential to meet evolving workforce needs.
Hospitality
- Hoteliers are emphasizing lifestyle-focused accommodations that deliver unique guest experiences.
Sports
- The sports industry continues to expand, driven by rapid growth in women’s leagues nationwide.
- DPR’s proven expertise in delivering state-of-the-art women’s sports facilities positions our Sports team as the ideal partner for your next project
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Looking for more general market insights? Take a look at our full market conditions report of Q4 2025. Or take the full report with you by downloading the PDF.
Photo by: Danny Sandler
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